Lost In Space was a TV show in the 1960’s that featured Robot B9, a companion robot of the Robinson family, that got itself lost while jetting from planet to planet somewhere out there in space. The robot was always flailing it’s arms and shouting “Danger, danger”. Robot B9 was all flexible tubes with a big, round transparent plastic body with lights and things moving around inside it. Very technical looking for the time.
Things have changed just a little since then.
Only a few weeks ago I asked Google about the progress of companion robots, ones that can read for you, do household chores, things like that, and Google said that the best one, Elon Musk’s Optimus, was a few years away yet. That was a few weeks ago.
Today I asked again and all sorts of Chinese companies are building them like crazy, I can buy one today that will do all those things, for about $20,000 and others are either coming into the market or being sold now for $9000 and less. Their capabilities vary all over the road, but think about what’s down that road.
I’m hoping my one good eye will still be at least marginally functional in two more years, good enough for me to select a companion robot by then. If not, then they better make them sooner, because I’m going to want one that will sit in this chair and type for me, read my email to me, order from Amazon for me, and hopefully be able to drive my car for me.
Right now, different robot makers are developing different abilities and the best of these abilities are well above human capabilities. Over time it’s inevitable that these companies are going to combine to produce superior robots. Marketplace competition will rule and a robot that can carry on a decent conversation, read and type, do chores, be a really good companion and Drive Your Car, that robot will be the top seller.
Google said it would be two years before a robot could do all those things and drive a car too. It’s the car driving that’s the hardest part and requires the best AI, and the sudden rapid advances in both computer chips and AI may make it possible in a year or less. The competition in this field is massive.
The competition in personal robots right now far outpaces the competition in self-driving cars, though that’s also pretty fierce. It’s just that a self-driving new car costs a lot more than a personal robot and isn’t subject to all the regulations, state and federal licensing and safety scrutiny that retards progress, and most people aren’t going blind, they’re just growing old, and there’s a far greater market for companion robots.
Ultimately I may have to buy both a companion robot and a self-driving car, as my uncooperative eyeballs are in control of the time limits here. We will see. Yes, that’s a pun.
